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new conference paper: Ebb and Flow: Implications of ISP Address Dynamics

Our new paper “Ebb and Flow: Implications of ISP Address Dynamics” will appear at the 2024 Conference on Passive and Active Measurements (PAM 2024).

From the abstract:

[Baltra24a, figure 1]: A known ISP maintenance event, where we see users (green dots) ove from the left block to the right block for about 15 days. The bottom graphs show what addresses respond, as observed by Trinocular. We confirm this result from a RIPE Atlas probe that also moved over this time. This kind of event is detected by the ISP Availability Sensing (IAS), a new algorithm explored in this paper.

Address dynamics are changes in IP address occupation as users come and go, ISPs renumber them for privacy or for routing maintenance. Address dynamics affect address reputation services, IP geolocation, network measurement, and outage detection, with implications of Internet governance, e-commerce, and science. While prior work has identified diurnal trends in address use, we show the effectiveness of Multi-Seasonal-Trend using Loess decomposition to identify both daily and weekly trends. We use ISP-wide dynamics to develop IAS, a new algorithm that is the first to automatically detect ISP maintenance events that move users in the address space. We show that 20% of such events result in /24 IPv4 address blocks that become unused for days or more, and correcting nearly 41k false outages per quarter. Our analysis provides a new understanding about ISP address use: while only about 2.8% of ASes (1,730) are diurnal, some diurnal ASes show more than 20% changes each day. It also shows greater fragmentation in IPv4 address use compared to IPv6.

This paper is a joint work of Guillermo Baltra, Xiao Song, and John Heidemann. Datasets from this paper can be found at https://ant.isi.edu/datasets/outage. This work was supported by NSF (MINCEQ, NSF 2028279; EIEIO CNS-2007106.

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new journal paper: “Deep Dive into NTP Pool’s Popularity and Mapping”

Our new paper “Deep Dive into NTP Pool’s Popularity and Mapping” will appear in the SIGMETRICS 2024 conference and concurrently in the ACM Proceedings of the ACM on Measurement and Analysis of Computing Systems, vol. 8, no. 1, March 2024.

From the abstract:

Number of ASes that are time providers per country (Figure 8 from [Moura24a]).

Time synchronization is of paramount importance on the Internet, with the Network Time Protocol (NTP) serving as the primary synchronization protocol. The NTP Pool, a volunteer-driven initiative launched two decades ago, facilitates connections between clients and NTP servers. Our analysis of root DNS queries reveals that the NTP Pool has consistently been the most popular time service. We further investigate the DNS component (GeoDNS) of the NTP Pool, which is responsible for mapping clients to servers. Our findings indicate that the current algorithm is heavily skewed, leading to the emergence of time monopolies for entire countries. For instance, clients in the US are served by 551 NTP servers, while clients in Cameroon and Nigeria are served by only one and two servers, respectively, out of the 4k+ servers available in the NTP Pool. We examine the underlying assumption behind GeoDNS for these mappings and discover that time servers located far away can still provide accurate clock time information to clients. We have shared our findings with the NTP Pool operators, who acknowledge them and plan to revise their algorithm to enhance security.

This paper is a joint work of

Giovane C. M. Moura1,2, Marco Davids1, Caspar Schutijser1, Christian Hesselman1,3, John Heidemann4,5, and Georgios Smaragdakis2 with 1: SIDN Labs, 2 Technical University, Delft, 3: the University of Twente, 4: the University of Southern California/Information Sciences Institute, 5: USC/Computer Science Dept. This work was supported by the RIPE NCC (via Atlas), the Root Operators and DNS-OARC (for DITL), SIDN Labs time.nl project, the Twente University Centre for Cyber Security Resarch, NSF projects CNS-2212480, CNS-2319409, the European Research Council ResolutioNet (679158), Duth 6G Future Network Services project, the EU programme Horizon Europe grants SEPTON (101094901), MLSysOps (101092912), and TANGO (101070052).